Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Only intell that fits MSM & Lib world view is accurate

Well Ohio State made it to the BCS Championship game again this year. You’ll recall that last year the Buckeyes went into championship game heavy favorites. All of the pundits, who are supposed to know, favored Ohio State. After taking a 7-0 lead on the opening kick-off, it was all down hill for Bucks. They were the subject of 41-14 beat down at the hands of the University of Florida. What happened? How could so many experts be so wrong by so much?

What happened was that the truth changed. While Ohio State appeared to be the best team at the end of their season, Florida played an additional two games. Over the 54 days between Ohio State’s last game against Michigan and the championship game two things changes. First, Florida got much better than the penalty and turnover prone team that lost to Auburn earlier in the year. Second, Ohio State had 54 days to read their press clippings and plan their post game victory party.

So were all of the “experts” liars? No. The truth changed. What was the truth at the end of Ohio State’s season had changed significantly by the end of the BCS Championship game.

So now we have a new NIE out that significantly changes what was believed to be the truth just two years ago. So what is the incurious press doing? Are they trying find why the truth according the NIE changed so abruptly and dramatically? No they are calling President Bush a liar…again.

According to the MSM lemmings Bush is a liar because he had to have known what was in the NIE months before its release, but he persisted beating a war drum against Iran. For the really far loons, Bush is a liar because he believed an NIE report saying Saddam had weapons of mass destruction. But Bush detractors are geniuses for believing this assessment on Iran.

Intell is a historically inaccurate science/art. The rule of thumb for intell consumers is to plan for the worst and hope for the best. Intell reports are based on largely on what is known, what is probable and how what is known and probable limits or advances the target’s capabilities. The one thing that intell can not do is get inside the mind of the target assess intent.

So what do we know?

Iran sits on a substantial amount of oil.
Iran continues to process uranium “for peaceful energy purposes” even though it sits on a cheap and ready supply of energy.
Iran continues to research and develop long range missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons.
Iran’s nut job president has made a long series of provocative statements about destroying Israel.

What can we draw from what we know?

Well according to Dems and the MSM we assume that the President of the United States is a liar and Iran’s nuclear ambitions are all peaceful and fully transparent.

On the other hand, people with a brain will conclude that as long as Iran has centrifuges running to process uranium and a nut job president declaring an end to Israel and the West, we’d better plan for the worst and hope for the best.

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