Why Romney will win

In 2004 we pretty much knew Little Barry was going to cruise to victory at this point. I feel like Romney is going to win because of his up beat campaign and Little Barry’s negative BS. That’s as scientific as it gets here and probably as reliable as any of the polls. Here's why I think Romney will win:

1. Most important, because I want him to win.

2. Polls, polls, polls all have it even or as Pat Gadell said, “within the margin of fraud” with Little Barry under 50%. Polls always under report Republicans, because they want to and because Republicans have no interest in talking to pollsters.

3. Common judgment says, undecideds at this point break 2 to 1 to the challenger, because they already know the incumbent.

4. 2010 - polls are all using models of the 2004 presidential election, as if 2010 never happened. They are all done with a +6-11 D turnout.  I think it'll be a +1 Republican turnout, because...

5. News flash, 2010 happened and little has changed since then.

6. Remeber Chik-Fil-A?  Nobody - and I mean nobody - saw that day coming, yet come it did.

7. A heretofore little worried about voting block - Catholics. There are enough Catholic votes, particularly in the Big 10 conference swing states of PA, OH, MI, WI, MN, IN, IA to tilt any election. I have never seen and heard such a sustained and clear message from the bishops against one particular party without ever mentioning the party. The only problem here is that Catholics don't always, hmm make that rarely, listen to their bishops. I sense this is different.

8. The NRA has sent out more than 8 times the number of mailers and called an equally high number of people in advance of this election - all of it directed at the swing states than in 2004. Love them or hate them, the NRA is the MOST EFFECTIVE lobbying group in America.

9. I heard a guy say, "I know a couple of Little Barry voters who will vote for Romney. I don't know a single McCain voter who is voting for Little Barry." All of the movement seems to be in one direction.

10. All of the Romney voters are in the "I'd crawl naked a mile over broken glass with a bullet in my back to vote for Romney to save America" mode. All of Little Barry's voters will be up at the crack of noon to pick up their Govt. check. They will go blow it on whatever the Govt. isn't already giving them free, drugs come to mind, but it could also be $400 designer sneakers, 50” flat screen tv, or night out at an expensive restaurant. They'll hang out on the corner BSing. Have dinner and head to the polls 10 minutes before they close and then bitch because they aren't being allowed to vote. Some Lib judge will step in and order the polls open until XX o'clock. The judge will do this in spite of the fact that voting has been on going for an entire month.

Given the state of the country, it should be Romney in a landslide. In a country where 47% are in the second category of item 10, that is not likely. Watch PA. If it goes Romney, the long national nightmare is over early tonight. If not, wait and watch.