Tuesday, August 07, 2007

It's too early for politics, but...

Well we’re only one year, three and half months away from the ’08 election. Amazing how these things sneak up on you. I could have sworn it’s only been seven months or so since the new congress was sworn in. Oh well, time flies when Harry and Nancy are running the show.

Since the election is just around the corner, I thought I’d give some insight that will be forgotten by the time anyone is really paying attention, at which time I can say, I told you so if I’m close, or offer a completely new set of insights without penalty if I’m way off.

First, Hillary will win. Dems are just too closed minded to give that nice black man a chance. They will go to his rallies; give him a lot of money; even say they are going to vote for him; but in the booth Dems will never risk the general election on a black man.

Hillary, if she’s smart, will ignore the temptation to bring Obama on as her VP. Conventional wisdom will call for her to unify the party and bring Obama on as VP. If she does, she’ll lose. Obama does nothing to broaden her appeal, but then short of getting the Pope to run with her, who could. She should pick Biden or if she’s really out for the glory Al Gore. Picking Al Gore would allow them use all of the old campaign stickers and buttons from Bill’s days and save a ton. Gore’s got an Oscar (maybe even a Nobel Peace Prize by year’s end) and could motivate a lot of people.

She’ll pick Obama. Then something quite remarkable will happen. After losing the Democrat nomination to a white woman because holier than thou Dems wouldn’t vote for a black man, the MSM will begin a relentless campaign to tag red staters who don’t support Obama as racists.

The Republican field is a bit harder to handicap. The three frontrunners - Rudy, Mitt and Fred - each have, as Yogi Berra might say, a 50-50 chance. Did you know that Mitt was a Mormon? I had no idea. You’d think the MSM would mention that or at least obsess on it a bit. Instead they focus like a laser on the really important questions, like, do you think it’d be good for America if Bill Clinton were back in the White House.

Fred’s the man. But his wife is attractive. According the NY Times that has to hurt him. After all, who wants a popular president with an attractive wife?

While Fred has the country charm, Mitt is bright. Maybe too bright. The MSMers are forever telling us how he knows too many of the answers. We all know how knowing all the right answers can be a drawback in a society that, as a whole, knows so few. For instance in Florida, Democrats apparently didn’t even know who they voted for in 2000. We’re probably better off with someone a little dumber and a little less confident than Mitt.

Then there’s the frontrunner, Rudy – America’s Mayor! But alas, after being asked for the 150,000th time by the MSM, Rudy still thinks abortion is a state’s rights issue. Worse yet for redneck red staters, he doesn’t think everyone in America ought to own a bazooka. Geeez, that’s nearly as bad as being a Mormon or having a good looking wife. What’s next, children that can sing and dance and donate their time working in a soup kitchen?

I think it’ll come down to Fred or Rudy. Mitt has the triple whammy of being Mormon, having an attractive wife and five handsome sons. So unless he changes religion or dumps his attractive wife for an overweight staffer, the MSM is never going to be comfortable with Mitt.

So the VP question arises with the same dynamics for the Republicans. Fred and Rudy or Rudy and Fred?

Neither, in my opinion. Pick Condi Rice. This would so discombobulate the press and blow up their “you’re a racist if you don’t support Obama” mantra, it’d be fun to watch. Also, when the VP debate rolls around, it’ll be like watching Mom teach Lex jr how to do double digit multiplication at the dinner table. Then there is the whole, who’s blacker question. Rice wins again. Not only because she is about three shades darker, but because she was raised by two black parents in segregationist AL and lost childhood friends in a Birmingham church burning. Obama was raised by his white mother in white suburban Chicago neighborhoods. And even if Obama tries to gain the upper hand by turning the debate sports, Condi will spank him. Her dream job is becoming the Commissioner of the NFL.

So MSM are going to have to deal with polls that find that most blacks think Condi is blacker, smarter, more qualified and knows more about football than Obama. You can almost hear America after the debate, "Damn, she da' man." Which would make Obama the...what?

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